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Bronx

USA
159 Posts

Posted - 20 Sep 2006 :  22:14:09  Show Profile Send Bronx a Private Message
Here is a snippet from one of Gainako's NADD fest:

In sideline to the ongoing campaign, a survey conducted by our Banjul correspondent, Ebrima Sonko, reveals that NADD
owns 45 % of the votes, the UDP/NRP alliance followed with 30 %, and the APRC with 25%.


http://www.gainako.com/My_Homepage_Files/Page5.html

I sincerely hope this is true, but the geek in me will like to know what sample size he used to get to this "fantabulous" poll results. The news political novices like yours truly is getting from the Gambia is a 360 view of what Gainako is publishing.

To be credible Gainako need to desist from sensational reporting ala the daily observer. If you are publishing a poll, show us the statistical variables used to arrive at the results. Your correspondents survey is not good enough. Professionalism demand that you take due diligence in reporting facts and not get engage in street corner journalism. It only tar your reputation.



Dalton1



3485 Posts

Posted - 20 Sep 2006 :  23:54:32  Show Profile  Visit Dalton1's Homepage Send Dalton1 a Private Message
Bronx,

What are your own polls ? lets see it.

Later, as i get done with stuff here. will write more on it.


"There is no god but Allah (SWT); and Muhammad (SAW)is His last messenger." shahadah. Fear & Worship Allah (SWT) Alone! (:
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Bronx

USA
159 Posts

Posted - 21 Sep 2006 :  01:20:21  Show Profile Send Bronx a Private Message
Dalton,
I don't have any means to conduct a legitimate poll on the election, so I won't even try. I don't try to be something am not. Your poll is inaccurate and you know that. But why bother? You have an agenda and Gainako is an extension of that agenda. You are the only one on this forum who believe in those crazy numbers of yours. However if you want to bury your head in the sand and stand behind them, be my guest. The elections on friday will be the final poll and the only poll that matters. And I will bet you my last dollar that your numbers will be proven false.
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Dalton1



3485 Posts

Posted - 21 Sep 2006 :  01:30:59  Show Profile  Visit Dalton1's Homepage Send Dalton1 a Private Message
quote:
Originally posted by Bronx

Dalton,
I don't have any means to conduct a legitimate poll on the election, so I won't even try. I don't try to be something am not. Your poll is inaccurate and you know that. But why bother? You have an agenda and Gainako is an extension of that agenda. You are the only one on this forum who believe in those crazy numbers of yours. However if you want to bury your head in the sand and stand behind them, be my guest. The elections on friday will be the final poll and the only poll that matters. And I will bet you my last dollar that your numbers will be proven false.



You without a poll ? i thought you have one. comparisons must be between atleast two things. Whatever the tides of the sea show at any level or time-that's our news, and news stance. News as news, and as observed by us at any particular time.


"There is no god but Allah (SWT); and Muhammad (SAW)is His last messenger." shahadah. Fear & Worship Allah (SWT) Alone! (:
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Bronx

USA
159 Posts

Posted - 21 Sep 2006 :  01:40:36  Show Profile Send Bronx a Private Message
Dalton,
Men quit. You are not making any sense. All I asked for is a sample size to your poll. I am not running any news sites. But you are. A poll result was posted on your site and I asked for the methodology used to arrive at those figures. But been the wanna be that you are, you running all over the place because you have no solid statistical analysis behind your little wet dream of a poll.

I never said I have conducted a poll. You claimed on your web page that you and your correspondent conducted one. However when confronted on the aunthenticity of the poll you ask me for one. How twisted is your logic. Your site's credibility is at stake. You cannot run a web page calling it a newspaper and publishing innuendo and fabricated numbers and when challenge, tell your readers to submit their own poll. Where is your integrity?
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kobo



United Kingdom
7765 Posts

Posted - 21 Sep 2006 :  06:25:27  Show Profile Send kobo a Private Message
Bronx, its my opinion that these were opinion polls results conducted on a segment of society. It appears that those who were keen to response to the exercise can produce these results which looks unrealistic or unimpressive to me also. The trend expected is the reversed order but they are relevant for critical analysis. Its just from a segment who had that impression with them or the market reasearch for those opinion polls were not very popular.
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Dalton1



3485 Posts

Posted - 21 Sep 2006 :  07:18:28  Show Profile  Visit Dalton1's Homepage Send Dalton1 a Private Message
Thanks Kobo, get the debate from the top as was debated at the post, for the benefit of those not subcribed there. Those that followed our arguement-also will dig down to understand our reportage style, which we will not compromise, which is "news as news, and as seen by us."

"There is no god but Allah (SWT); and Muhammad (SAW)is His last messenger." shahadah. Fear & Worship Allah (SWT) Alone! (:
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Dalton1



3485 Posts

Posted - 21 Sep 2006 :  07:26:57  Show Profile  Visit Dalton1's Homepage Send Dalton1 a Private Message
Here is another one from freedom.

compare & contrast; then wait for results.

www.freedomnewspaper.com

"There is no god but Allah (SWT); and Muhammad (SAW)is His last messenger." shahadah. Fear & Worship Allah (SWT) Alone! (:
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kobo



United Kingdom
7765 Posts

Posted - 21 Sep 2006 :  10:06:20  Show Profile Send kobo a Private Message
Its collating data and statistics from which area or segment of analysis. Even during voting actual results in some specific areas these characteristics would occur but does not or cannot be overall representative. Its just interesting!
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Bronx

USA
159 Posts

Posted - 21 Sep 2006 :  16:26:11  Show Profile Send Bronx a Private Message
Kobo,
I have a serious problem with both Yero and Panderry's poll. This was the reason I asked him to furnish the methodology involved. I will be the happiest man alive if any of them come to pass. I believe an Ousainou or Halifa victory will be great for the Gambia. I don't have any qualms with that. What I find interesting is how they came up with these numbers contrary to all speculations here and other forums calling it for the APRC. Enquiring minds will like to know.

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rah



117 Posts

Posted - 21 Sep 2006 :  19:12:32  Show Profile Send rah a Private Message
quote:
Originally posted by Bronx

Kobo,
I have a serious problem with both Yero and Panderry's poll. This was the reason I asked him to furnish the methodology involved. I will be the happiest man alive if any of them come to pass. I believe an Ousainou or Halifa victory will be great for the Gambia. I don't have any qualms with that. What I find interesting is how they came up with these numbers contrary to all speculations here and other forums calling it for the APRC. Enquiring minds will like to know.



Bronx, I'm reading this thread with great interest. You are accusing the others of not producing a valid data on their polls. Could you please provide links of forum that predict otherwise i.e., forums calling it for the APRC? An enquiring mind wants to know. yeh,rah
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Bronx

USA
159 Posts

Posted - 21 Sep 2006 :  19:22:05  Show Profile Send Bronx a Private Message
Rah,
Several people on this forum called the elections for the APRC. It could be out of a sense of frustration at the apparent NADD disintergration. Here is a link to one of those discussions.

http://www.gambia.dk/forums/topic.asp?TOPIC_ID=1871

Another taking place on the GambiaL

http://www.listserv.icors.org/SCRIPTS/WA-ICORS.EXE?A2=ind0609c&L=gambia-l&H=1&O=D&F=P&P=5939

Edited by - Bronx on 21 Sep 2006 19:25:42
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rah



117 Posts

Posted - 21 Sep 2006 :  20:20:15  Show Profile Send rah a Private Message
quote:
Originally posted by Bronx

Rah,
Several people on this forum called the elections for the APRC. It could be out of a sense of frustration at the apparent NADD disintergration. Here is a link to one of those discussions.

http://www.gambia.dk/forums/topic.asp?TOPIC_ID=1871

Another taking place on the GambiaL

http://www.listserv.icors.org/SCRIPTS/WA-ICORS.EXE?A2=ind0609c&L=gambia-l&H=1&O=D&F=P&P=5939



yeh Bronx, your links reveal that there are no raw scientific data, figure wise available, to predict the outcome of Gambian Elections. Polls are just a “word of mouth” depiction of one’s position, and it could be misinterpreted, as it always has been. Just take it with a grain of salt. yeh,rah
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kobo



United Kingdom
7765 Posts

Posted - 22 Sep 2006 :  01:33:20  Show Profile Send kobo a Private Message
Bantaba conducted as interested opinion polls and those results appear to reflect the current trends for a landslide victory in favour of APRC, according to media and reports available so far!

The results of Bantaba opinion polls which was keenly conducted for over three months plus reverses Gainako opnion polls. However don't discount Gainako's results as in some areas that would be the expectations.

Edited by - kobo on 22 Sep 2006 01:36:33
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